Service Plays Tuesday 10/12/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim




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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tips and Trends

Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays [TBS | 8:07 PM ET]

RANGERS: Texas will be playing their 3rd consecutive game with the opportunity of advancing to the ALCS. The Rangers starting rotation cost them victory in their past 2 games, but that shouldn't be the case tonight. Ace Cliff Lee just might be the best pitcher in all of baseball, and would easily rank as one of the top 3 pitchers you'd want on the mound in an elimination game. Lee is 13-9 SU this year, with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 0.99. Texas is 92-74 SU this season, including 41-42 SU on the road. Texas is -1.33 and -21.58 units both SU and on the RL this year. The Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games overall. Texas is 5-0 in their last 5 games against a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 7-2 in their last 9 games against the American League East. Texas is 4-1 in Lee's last 5 starts overall. The Rangers are 2-5 in Lee's last 7 starts against the American League East.

Rangers are 6-0 last 6 games as a road underdog.
Under is 6-1 last 7 road games against a team with a winning record.

Key Injuries - None Reported.

Projected Score: 2

RAYS: (-115, O/U 6.5) If nothing else, Tampa has shown some major heart. The Rays were left for dead after falling behind 0-2 SU in their best of 5 series against Texas. Instead, the whole world gets to watch a deciding Game 5. Ace David Price is looking to revenge his loss in Game 1 of this series against the Rangers. Price is 19-7 SU this year, with an ERA of 2.80 and a WHIP of 1.20 this season. The Rays are +2.38 and -6.02 units both SU and on the RL this year. Tampa has scored 11 runs in their past 2 games, thanks to an aggressive approach offensively. Back at home, that is style of play is likely to continue in this elimination game. The Rays are 21-8 in their last 29 home games against a team with a winning record. Tampa is 2-5 in their last 7 playoff games overall. The Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 games against a left-handed starter. Tampa is 6-1 in Price's last 7 starts against the American League West. The Rays are 4-1 in Price's last 5 starts as a home favorite. Tampa is 7-3 in Price's last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.

Rays are 3-8 last 11 games following an off day.
Under is 6-0 last 6 games against a left-handed starter.

Key Injuries - None Reported.

Projected Score: 4 (SIDE of the Day)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Payoff Pitch: Today's best Mound Matchup

Cliff Lee, Texas Rangers vs. David Price, Tampa Bay Rays

Cliff Lee (13-9, 3.12)

Cliff Lee takes the ball in the fifth and deciding game between his Texas Rangers and the Tampa Bay Rays. It’s the kind of matchup Lee lives for.

“This is why we got him, for this type of game,” Rangers manager Ron Washington told reporters. “And I certainly feel great about what's about to happen when we get to Tampa. And we couldn't have a better guy on the mound.”

Lee went seven innings when knocked off the Rays 5-1 in Game 1, allowing a single run on five hits while striking out 10 and walking none. The 32-year-old lefty has a sparkling postseason track record, going 5-0 with a 1.52 ERA in six career playoff starts.

Lee has pitched just one postseason elimination game before Tuesday, getting the better of the New York Yankees in Game 5 of 2009 World Series. He gave up five runs in seven innings, but hung on long enough to pick up the win.

Before Game 1’s win, Lee was 0-3 against the Rays during the regular season, giving up 24 hits in 23 2/3 innings.

David Price (19-6, 2.72 ERA)

After a terrible outing in his first playoff start in Game 1, all David Price wanted was another crack at the Texas Rangers. He has that shot Tuesday in Game 5.

Price gave up four earned runs and a pair of home runs over 6 2/3 innings in last Wednesday’s loss. It was his worst start since he allowed seven runs to the New York Yankees on July 18 and Price wasn’t happy, stomping around the mound while giving up runs in four consecutive innings against the Rangers.

"It was pretty rough," Price said of his last start after learning that he would get another shot at the Rangers following Sunday’s win. "It stung a little bit. I definitely wanted to give us a better chance to win. I wanted to throw better for myself. I wasn't able to do that. And they got the ball back in my hand and I appreciate that."

Price is 1-1 with a 3.65 ERA in six career playoff appearances, striking out 16 while walking four in 12 1-3 innings of work and is in contention for the AL Cy Young Award after posting 19 wins with a 2.72 ERA during the regular season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays (-115, 6.5)

Is it a home-field advantage or disadvantage? Road teams are 9-4 in the playoffs so far and the away side is a perfect 4-0 in the Rangers-Rays series.

Tampa Bay is trying to become only the second team to win an ALDS after dropping the first two games of the series at home. The Rays starting and relief pitching came through at Texas like it hadn’t in Games 1 and 2, and the sleeping bats of big boppers Evan Longoria, Carlos Pena and Carl Crawford.

The same Rays who scored just one run on eight hits in the first two games of the series, touched home 11 times in Texas on 23 hits.

"When we got that win (Saturday) it seemed like everything changed then," Crawford told the Tampa Tribune. "You give us a seam we'll try to get through it. They had a chance to put us away (Saturday) and they didn't. We might have a chance to win it now."

Something tells us the hit parade for Tampa will come to a quick end with ace Cliff Lee on the hill on Tuesday.

Pick: Rangers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings (-215, 5.5)

The Detroit Red Wings have vowed to be harder to play against this season and through two games, you have to believe them.

They bounced the feisty Ducks 4-0 on Friday night as Pavel Datsyuk, the four-time Lady Byng winner, squared off with Corey Perry and earned a Gordie Howe hat trick. On Saturday, they left the gloves on but their second line of Valtteri Filppula, Johan Franzen and Todd Bertuzzi earned a ton of praise for the gritty work they did in a 3-2 win over the reigning Cup winners, the Chicago Blackhawks.

Filppula scored twice including the game-winner and his line was a handful for Chicago all night. The trio that makes up Detroit’s so-called second line are the club’s top three scorers after two games.

"Mule, Bert and Fil were fantastic," coach Mike Babcock told reporters after Saturday's victory. "We're going to have a battle as to who our best line is."

Pick: Over


Atlanta Thrashers at Los Angeles Kings (-200, 6)

The Los Angeles Kings played back-to-back contests in Vancouver and Calgary over the weekend earning a split while managing just a pair of goals in regulation. That’s not good enough for a team with this kind of firepower.

As a result, coach Terry Murray dropped veteran Ryan Smyth from the No. 1 line and put rookie Andrei Loktionov in his place with Anze Kopitar and Dustin Brown during Monday’s practice. Loktionov was a healthy scratch in the club's first two games but put up 24 points in 29 games with Manchester of the American Hockey League last year.

“That’s probably what I will go with tomorrow,” Murray told reporters. “It’s a young guy who has come through the training camp and played well for us. It’s not about Ryan Smyth. It’s all about this young guy getting an opportunity to play with one of our best players, maybe our best player, in Kopitar.”

Kopitar took a stick to the face Friday against the Canucks, losing a couple of teeth and needing about 15 stitches. He came back to score the game-winning goal in the shootout.

Pick: Kings

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend: Tuesday's wagering tips

Lines to watch

Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays – Tampa Bay opened at -115, but is now listed at -120 at some betting shops.

Who’s hot

Detroit Red Wings are 19-7 in their last 26 meetings with the Colorado Avalanche.

Who’s not

Texas Rangers are 5-13 in their last 18 games at Tropicana Field against the Rays.
Atlanta Thrashers are 6-20 in their last 26 home games.

Key stat

1.52 – Cliff Lee’s playoff ERA through six career postseason starts. That ERA puts him fifth all-time in MLB history among pitchers who have made at least five playoff starts. Three of the four pitchers ahead of him in that category are now in the Hall of Fame.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Ondrej Pavelec (concussion), Atlanta Thrashers – Pavelec was released from hospital after he collapsed during Friday’s 4-2 win over the Washington Capitals. Pavelec underwent tests for three days at the hospital, where it was learned he suffered a concussion when he fell, but doctors still don’t know what caused him to crumple to the ice. In an Monday update, the team says Pavelec will be out of the lineup for at least this week as he undergoes more tests, which means Chris Mason will likely start again on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Kings. Last year Pavelec was 14-8-7 with a 3.29 GAA for the Thrashers.

Game of the day

Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays (-115, 6.5)

Notable quotable

"David was not happy with himself the first game of the series. Nobody could be more critical of David than David can be, and he's going to definitely come into this game tomorrow with the right mindset. He's going to be charged up, amped up, and not overly so. I really believe he's going to be in control of his emotions." – Tampa Bay Rays manager Joe Maddon on starter David Price, who will face off against the Texas Rangers in Game 5 on Tuesday after losing Game 1’s start. Price was visibly upset on the mound in Game 1 as he allowed runs in four consecutive innings in a 5-1 loss.

Notes and tips

Texas Rangers manager Ron Washington has his backup plan already set if Cliff Lee struggles in Tuesday’s Game 5 – C.J. Wilson. Washington said he would rather not bring Wilson in because he’s in line to make the start in Game 1 of the ALCS if they can get by the Rays, but that Wilson was his first option out of the pen “early or late” on Tuesday. Lee and Wilson held Tampa Bay to just one run and seven hits over 13 1/3 innings in Games 1 and 2 for the Rangers.

The Detroit Red Wings inked coach Mike Babcock to a four-year contract extension on Tuesday. Babcock has led the team to a pair of Stanley Cup Final appearances, winning it all in 2008, and has a 259-101-52 record behind the Wings’ bench. Detroit hosts its longtime rival the Colorado Avalanche on Tuesday.

Dallas Stars center Mike Ribeiro was arrested late Sunday evening on a public intoxication charge after an altercation at a Dallas sushi restaurant. Ribeiro and his wife along with another couple were taken into custody after some sort of dispute with other patrons at the restaurant. Ribeiro and the rest of the group posted bail and were released at 4:45 Monday morning. Ribeiro has three assists in his first two games for the Stars.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BASEBALL CRUSHER
PLAY OF THE DAY

Tampa Bay Rays/Texas Rangers UNDER 6.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Jets (-4-1/2) Monday night.

Tuesday it's the Rangers. The profit is 325 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo lost with the Braves in the NLDS last night but was saved by the Jets Dwight Lowery, whose pick 6 resulted in a picture-perfect cover against Favre and friends and enabled Mr. Aitch to cut the debt to 2,840 smalleys.

Tonight, His Aitchness will provide the cheers if Cliffy provides the victory -- 10 units on the Rangers to slay the Rays.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
533 - 382 run 58 %

Bonus Play 15-2 Bonus Play run Tues Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Tuesday

Kings/Thrashers under 6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 10-6 (.625)

DETROIT 4, Colorado 2
LOS ANGELES 3, Atlanta 2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

Atlanta at Los Angeles

The Thrashers look to take advantage of a Los Angeles team that is 0-4 in its last 4 games as a home favorite from -150 to -200. Atlanta is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the Thrashers favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+170). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 12
Time Posted 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Colorado at Detroit (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 10.920; Detroit 13.277
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-220); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-220); Over

Game 53-54: Atlanta at Los Angeles (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 10.927; Los Angeles 10.259
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-200); 6
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+170); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Texas at Tampa Bay

The Rangers look to build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Texas is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 12
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 985-986: Texas at Tampa Bay (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lee) 16.306; Tampa Bay (Price) 15.109
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Accuscore NHL Totals 10/12/10

51 Colorado Avalanche/Detroit Red Wings* Over 5½

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CappersAccess
Devil Rays -1.15

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben lee lost on Monday with the Braves -$130/Giants.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Rangers Pk/Rays.

"Mr Chalk" is 3-4 -$220 for the 2010 MLB playoffs.

 

[Cappermex]

Jimmy Boyd
5* ALDS Game of the Year Tampa Bay Rays -115

 

[JoeThePlumber]

Guaranteed Pick: Scott Spreitzer

Game: Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays Oct 12 2010 8:05PM
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays LOCK OF ALL LOCKS.

I'm playing the Tampa Bay Rays in game five on Tuesday night. Things didn't look to promising for the Rays following their two losses at home, but they have taken back home field advantage and the momentum in this one. And I don't believe they'll let it slip away. Before last Wednesday's game-one, Cliff Lee had really been struggling in his last several starts away from Arlington. Tampa had several chances to get to the lefty early in the game, but the "clutch" bats were silent in the first couple of innings, once with the bases loaded. But the Rays' "woke up" in Texas and I believe they'll get to Lee in this one. They beat Lee in all three regular season meetings this season.
I doubt he'll get much run support on Tuesday. Not only are the Rangers facing David Price, but they averaged just 4.2 rpg in road games against lefties this season. Price got beat last week, but he was magnficent to close the season, allowing just eight earned runs and 41 base runners in his last seven appearances, including six starts, covering 44 innings. That's a smoking hot, 1.64 ERA & 0.93 WHIP. The Rays had won each of his last six starts of the regular season, and they went 12-4 when Price toed the home rubber this season, where he owned a 1.96 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and .206 BAA!

Texas has had a problem against decent home teams this season. The Rangers are just 5-15 on the road (including playoffs) against teams that outscore their "guests" by just 0.5 rpg or more in 2010. Meanwhile, the Rays have feasted against some of the best. They finished the regular season on an 18-4 run against AL starting pitchers with an ERA of 3.20 or lower. The momentum is on the home team's side...more importantly, their bats are once again a factor. We'll back Tampa Bay to wrap up the series on Tuesday night. Thanks! GL! Scott.

 

[Pringler]

Anyone want to pick up:

Scott Rickenbach
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